Malaysia Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
MALAYSIA

The Malaysia 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 3.817%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

Malaysia Central Bank Rate stands at 3.00%, following the most recent adjustment in May 2023.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Malaysia credit rating is A-.

The current quotation for Malaysia 5-Years Credit Default Swap is 57.19 basis points. Correspondingly, the implied probability of default is 0.95%.

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Malaysia Yield Curve

A Yield Curve is a graph that shows the relationship between interest rates (or yields) and different maturities of debt for a specific borrower, often government bonds. It typically plots yields on the y-axis and maturities on the x-axis, ranging from short-term to long-term bonds.

The shape of the yield curve gives investors insights into market expectations for interest rates, economic growth, and inflation. A normal yield curve, where long-term rates are higher than short-term, suggests economic growth, while an inverted curve, where short-term rates are higher, can indicate an upcoming recession.

Malaysia Yield Curve
Malaysia Government Bonds
13 December 2024

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Residual
Maturity
Annualized Yield Constant Maturity Zero Coupon Price Capital
Growth
of 1 Unit
Last
Update
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M
3 months 3.145% +2.0 bp -9.5 bp -2.5 bp 99.23 0.00 % +0.02 % +0.01 % 1.007 12 Dec
7 months 3.175% +4.0 bp -8.5 bp -4.5 bp 98.19 -0.03 % +0.04 % +0.02 % 1.018 12 Dec
1 year 3.185% +3.0 bp -11.5 bp -8.5 bp 96.91 -0.03 % +0.10 % +0.08 % 1.031 12 Dec
3 years 3.476% -7.2 bp -8.7 bp -6.4 bp 90.26 +0.21 % +0.26 % +0.19 % 1.107 13 Dec
5 years 3.625% -5.5 bp -6.9 bp -8.2 bp 83.69 +0.26 % +0.34 % +0.40 % 1.194 13 Dec
7 years 3.807% -3.8 bp -2.0 bp -0.6 bp 76.99 +0.26 % +0.14 % +0.04 % 1.298 13 Dec
10 years 3.817% -13.6 bp -8.2 bp -6.0 bp 68.76 +1.33 % +0.79 % +0.59 % 1.454 13 Dec
15 years 4.012% -4.0 bp -0.5 bp -6.8 bp 55.43 +0.58 % +0.07 % +0.98 % 1.804 13 Dec
20 years 4.048% -5.7 bp -12.7 bp -23.3 bp 45.22 +1.10 % +2.47 % +4.58 % 2.211 13 Dec
30 years 4.179% -5.3 bp -8.7 bp -16.7 bp 29.28 +1.53 % +2.52 % +4.91 % 3.415 13 Dec
Last Update: 13 Dec 2024, 0:15 GMT+0

Malaysia Yield History

This table presents the historical values of the yield curve, with data points collected at the end of each year.

By analyzing these values over time, one can observe trends and shifts in economic sentiment and monetary policy that impact investor expectations about future interest rates and economic growth.

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Government Bonds Yield (%)
Spread (bp)
Period 1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y 30Y 10Y - 2Y
Dec 2024 n.a. 3.145 n.a. 3.185 n.a. 3.476 3.625 3.807 3.817 4.179 n.a.
Dec 2023 n.a. 3.170 n.a. 3.270 n.a. 3.493 3.631 3.757 3.765 4.286 n.a.
Dec 2022 n.a. 2.830 n.a. 3.180 n.a. 3.754 3.878 4.064 4.050 4.686 n.a.
Dec 2021 n.a. 1.800 n.a. 1.870 n.a. 2.829 3.181 3.423 3.611 4.242 n.a.
Dec 2020 n.a. 1.740 n.a. 1.740 n.a. 1.880 2.120 2.399 2.685 3.860 n.a.
Dec 2019 n.a. 3.070 n.a. 3.080 n.a. 3.008 3.203 3.318 3.336 4.141 n.a.
Dec 2018 n.a. 3.320 n.a. 3.300 n.a. 3.642 3.795 4.000 4.095 4.864 n.a.
Dec 2017 n.a. 3.150 n.a. 3.300 n.a. 3.353 3.572 3.891 3.931 4.858 n.a.
Dec 2016 n.a. 2.950 n.a. 3.050 n.a. 3.504 3.714 n.a. 4.235 n.a. n.a.

Malaysia Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.

The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (3.00%)
3 months 1 year 5 years 10 years
30 years 4.179% 117.9bp
10 years 3.817%
81.7bp
5 years 3.625%
62.5bp
1 year 3.185%
18.5bp
3 months 3.145%
14.5bp

Malaysia Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation).

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Rating Agency Rating Outlook Last Update Action
Standard & Poor's A- - 28 Jun 2022 outlook upgrade
Moody's Investors Service A3 - 11 Jan 2016 outlook downgrade
Fitch Ratings BBB+ - 4 Dec 2020 rating downgrade
DBRS - -

Malaysia Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 3.00%

Malaysia Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default Swap CDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 57.19 +9.37 % +19.95 % +8.60 % 0.95 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.
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Malaysia 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Malaysia 10Y Government Bond has a 3.817% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
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Malaysia 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 278.2 bp -13.7 bp -15.7 bp -39.8 bp
vs China 10Y 203.5 bp +17.6 bp +44.9 bp +82.2 bp
vs Germany 10Y 157.0 bp +0.3 bp +14.1 bp -14.8 bp
vs Spain 10Y 88.3 bp +6.1 bp +36.3 bp +12.5 bp
vs France 10Y 77.1 bp -1.6 bp +5.1 bp -39.2 bp
vs Canada 10Y 61.7 bp +0.5 bp +7.1 bp +0.9 bp
vs Italy 10Y 41.5 bp +12.1 bp +47.3 bp +47.4 bp
vs United States 10Y -51.1 bp -0.8 bp -17.0 bp -36.4 bp
vs Australia 10Y -57.3 bp +16.1 bp -28.5 bp -29.0 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y -60.4 bp -1.5 bp -37.2 bp -65.5 bp
vs India 10Y -302.2 bp -5.8 bp +6.5 bp +36.0 bp
vs Brazil 10Y -989.3 bp -101.1 bp -169.2 bp -290.3 bp
vs Russia 10Y -1254.8 bp -67.5 bp -130.7 bp -376.5 bp

Malaysia Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
30 years 4.179% 29.28 46.20 80.05 113.89 147.74 181.58
20 years 4.048% 45.22 58.75 85.82 112.88 139.95 167.01
15 years 4.012% 55.43 66.54 88.76 110.98 133.19 155.41
10 years 3.817% 68.76 76.94 93.31 109.68 126.05 142.42
7 years 3.807% 76.99 83.03 95.12 107.21 119.30 131.39
5 years 3.625% 83.69 88.19 97.19 106.19 115.18 124.18
3 years 3.476% 90.26 93.06 98.67 104.27 109.88 115.48
1 year 3.185% 96.91 97.88 99.82 101.76 103.70 105.64
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
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