Inverted Yield Curves

Last Update: 11 Dec 2024 18:23 GMT+0

15 countries have an inverted yield curve.

An inverted yield curve is an interest rate environment in which long-term bonds have a lower yield than short-term ones.

An inverted yield curve is often considered a predictor of economic recession.

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Detailed domestic spreads

The convexity of the yield curve can be estimated calculating the spread between Government Bonds with long, medium and short maturity.

If the spread between the 10 years and the 2 years Government Bond is negative, it's a strong signal of totally inverted yield curve.

Signals of partially or minimally inverted yield curve are a negative 5Y vs 2Y spread or a negative 2Y vs 1Y spread.

Cells with red background shows an inverted yield case.
Cells with yellow background shows a flat yield case.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Country Long vs Short Term
10Y vs 2Y Spread
Mid vs Short Term
5Y vs 2Y Spread
Short Term
2Y vs 1Y Spread
Ukraine
Turkey
Russia
Nigeria
Serbia
Iceland
Brazil
Norway
Croatia
Kazakhstan
Qatar
Denmark
Thailand
Singapore
Philippines
Latvia
Pakistan
South Korea
Switzerland
United Kingdom
India
United States
Canada
Hong Kong
Cyprus
Germany
Indonesia
Taiwan
Sweden
Ireland
Israel
Chile
Bangladesh
Lithuania
Netherlands
Egypt
Australia
Finland
Malaysia
Austria
Japan
Hungary
Slovakia
Mexico
Uganda
Portugal
Morocco
Bahrain
Belgium
China
Slovenia
Poland
Spain
Czech Republic
Bulgaria
New Zealand
Romania
Mauritius
Malta
France
Greece
Vietnam
Italy
South Africa
Namibia
Kenya
Perù
Sri Lanka
Colombia
Zambia