Inverted Yield Curves

Last Update: 15 Oct 2024 14:23 GMT+0

15 countries have an inverted yield curve.

An inverted yield curve is an interest rate environment in which long-term bonds have a lower yield than short-term ones.

An inverted yield curve is often considered a predictor of economic recession.

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Detailed domestic spreads

The convexity of the yield curve can be estimated calculating the spread between Government Bonds with long, medium and short maturity.

If the spread between the 10 years and the 2 years Government Bond is negative, it's a strong signal of totally inverted yield curve.

Signals of partially or minimally inverted yield curve are a negative 5Y vs 2Y spread or a negative 2Y vs 1Y spread.

Cells with red background shows an inverted yield case.
Cells with yellow background shows a flat yield case.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Country Long vs Short Term
10Y vs 2Y Spread
Mid vs Short Term
5Y vs 2Y Spread
Short Term
2Y vs 1Y Spread
Ukraine
Turkey
Nigeria
Russia
Iceland
Egypt
Pakistan
Norway
Denmark
Qatar
Kenya
Brazil
Mexico
Croatia
Kazakhstan
Latvia
Germany
United Kingdom
Cyprus
Switzerland
Singapore
United States
Hong Kong
South Korea
Canada
Thailand
India
Bahrain
Taiwan
Ireland
Sweden
Lithuania
Netherlands
Finland
Bangladesh
Chile
Austria
Philippines
Australia
Morocco
Israel
Slovakia
Slovenia
Portugal
Belgium
Malaysia
New Zealand
Japan
Indonesia
Spain
Poland
Czech Republic
France
Malta
China
Bulgaria
Vietnam
Hungary
Serbia
Italy
Mauritius
Romania
Greece
Uganda
South Africa
Namibia
Perù
Sri Lanka
Colombia
Zambia