Nigeria Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
NIGERIA
Last Update: 26 Jul 2024 17:15 GMT+0

The Nigeria 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 20.251%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

The spread between Nigeria 10-Year and 2-Year government bonds is -428 basis points (bp). This spread is a measure of the difference in yields between long-term and short-term government debt. Long-term yields should be greater than short-term ones.
Current analysis: Yield Curve is inverted in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities.

Nigeria Central Bank Rate stands at 26.75%, following the most recent adjustment in July 2024.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Nigeria credit rating is B-.

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Nigeria Yield Curve

If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield ZC Price Last
Change
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M
2 years 24.531% +442.5 bp +1255.7 bp 64.48 -6.98 % -19.16 % 26 Jul
3 years 19.947% +137.5 bp +750.4 bp 57.95 -3.40 % -17.61 % 26 Jul
4 years 19.677% +99.9 bp +618.9 bp 48.75 -3.29 % -19.13 % 26 Jul
5 years 20.025% +116.8 bp +631.0 bp 40.15 -4.77 % -23.65 % 26 Jul
7 years 18.602% +4.4 bp +445.6 bp 30.29 -0.26 % -23.53 % 26 Jul
10 years 20.251% +56.8 bp +603.6 bp 15.82 -4.58 % -40.23 % 26 Jul
20 years 18.649% +0.4 bp +344.9 bp 3.27 0.00 % -44.58 % 26 Jul
30 years 17.499% -0.1 bp +262.4 bp 0.79 0.00 % -49.36 % 26 Jul
Last Update: 26 Jul 2024 17:15 GMT+0

Nigeria Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.
The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Bond Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (26.75%)
2 years 5 years 10 years
30 years 17.499% -925.1 bp
10 years 20.251%
-649.9 bp
5 years 20.025%
-672.5 bp
2 years 24.531%
-221.9 bp

Focusing on 2 years Government Bond:

If data are not all visible, swipe table left
5Y vs 2Y -450.6 bp Yield Curve is inverted in Mid-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
10Y vs 2Y -428 bp Yield Curve is inverted in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities

Nigeria Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation). For a deeper analysis of credit ratings, click here Nigeria Credit Ratings History

Rating Agency Rating Outlook
Standard & Poor's B- -
Moody's Investors Service Caa1 positive
Fitch Ratings B- -
DBRS - -

Nigeria Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 26.75%
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Nigeria 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Nigeria 10Y Government Bond has a 20.251% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Nigeria 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 1919.2 bp +56.4 bp +568.2 bp
vs China 10Y 1805.4 bp +58.7 bp +635.3 bp
vs Germany 10Y 1784.3 bp +61.1 bp +593.0 bp
vs France 10Y 1713.7 bp +72.0 bp +571.3 bp
vs Spain 10Y 1701.6 bp +75.6 bp +600.7 bp
vs Canada 10Y 1690.6 bp +72.4 bp +624.1 bp
vs Italy 10Y 1648.5 bp +84.9 bp +609.6 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 1614.8 bp +60.1 bp +589.9 bp
vs United States 10Y 1605.4 bp +66.2 bp +597.8 bp
vs Australia 10Y 1594.0 bp +67.6 bp +596.0 bp
vs India 10Y 1319.6 bp +51.3 bp +615.2 bp
vs Brazil 10Y 816.4 bp +64.6 bp +452.0 bp
vs Russia 10Y 481.3 bp +26.0 bp +278.8 bp

Nigeria Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
30 years 17.499% 0.79 6.46 17.80 29.14 40.48 51.82
20 years 18.649% 3.27 8.46 18.83 29.21 39.58 49.95
10 years 20.251% 15.82 19.97 28.29 36.60 44.92 53.23
7 years 18.602% 30.29 34.04 41.54 49.03 56.52 64.02
5 years 20.025% 40.15 43.13 49.11 55.09 61.07 67.05
4 years 19.677% 48.75 51.35 56.56 61.77 66.98 72.19
3 years 19.947% 57.95 60.06 64.27 68.49 72.70 76.92
2 years 24.531% 64.48 65.93 68.83 71.72 74.62 77.51
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

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