Philippines Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
PHILIPPINES
Last Update: 27 Apr 2024 2:15 GMT+0

The Philippines 10Y Government Bond has a 6.916% yield.

10 Years vs 2 Years bond spread is 56.4 bp.
Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities.

Central Bank Rate is 6.50% (last modification in October 2023).

The Philippines credit rating is BBB+, according to Standard & Poor's agency.

Current 5-Years Credit Default Swap quotation is 57.35 and implied probability of default is 0.96%.

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Philippines Yield Curve

If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity		 Yield ZC Price Last
Change
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M
1 month 6.043% +31.6 bp -6.3 bp 26 Apr
3 months 5.978% +15.5 bp -31.6 bp 26 Apr
6 months 6.069% +10.3 bp -41.7 bp 26 Apr
1 year 6.054% +9.7 bp -39.8 bp 94.29 -0.10 % +0.37 % 26 Apr
2 years 6.352% +26.3 bp -5.4 bp 88.41 -0.50 % +0.10 % 26 Apr
3 years 6.670% +57.5 bp +5.9 bp 82.39 -1.61 % -0.17 % 26 Apr
4 years 6.644% +54.7 bp +1.8 bp 77.31 -2.04 % -0.08 % 26 Apr
5 years 6.667% +46.4 bp -10.0 bp 72.42 -2.15 % +0.47 % 26 Apr
7 years 6.971% +63.0 bp -1.9 bp 62.39 -4.06 % +0.11 % 26 Apr
10 years 6.916% +58.7 bp -27.6 bp 51.24 -5.36 % +2.62 % 26 Apr
20 years 7.088% +74.9 bp -4.8 bp 25.42 -13.09 % +0.91 % 26 Apr
Last Update: 27 Apr 2024 2:15 GMT+0

Philippines Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.
The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

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Residual
Maturity		 Yield Spread vs Bond Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (6.50%)
3 months 1 year 2 years 5 years
10 years 6.916% 41.6 bp
5 years 6.667%
16.7 bp
2 years 6.352%
-14.8 bp
1 year 6.054%
7.6 bp
-44.6 bp
3 months 5.978%
-52.2 bp

Focusing on 2 years Government Bond:

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2Y vs 1Y 29.8 bp Normal Convexity in Short-Term Maturities
5Y vs 2Y 31.5 bp Normal Convexity in Mid-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
10Y vs 2Y 56.4 bp Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
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Philippines Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation). For a deeper analysis of credit ratings, click here Philippines Credit Ratings History

Rating Agency Rating Outlook
Standard & Poor's BBB+ -
Moody's Investors Service Baa2 -
Fitch Ratings BBB -
DBRS - -

Philippines Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 6.50%

Philippines Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default Swap CDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 57.35 +9.24 % +22.49 % +19.01 % 0.96 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.

Philippines 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Philippines 10Y Government Bond has a 6.916% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Philippines 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 603.4 bp +41.6 bp -28.4 bp
vs China 10Y 471.1 bp +69.4 bp +25.4 bp
vs Germany 10Y 433.8 bp +29.9 bp -4.0 bp
vs France 10Y 384.7 bp +30.7 bp +9.5 bp
vs Spain 10Y 354.5 bp +34.8 bp +26.2 bp
vs Canada 10Y 306.5 bp +20.4 bp -11.2 bp
vs Italy 10Y 302.6 bp +31.2 bp +67.3 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 258.8 bp +19.1 bp -4.2 bp
vs Australia 10Y 237.6 bp +3.9 bp -0.3 bp
vs United States 10Y 225.3 bp +11.2 bp -10.1 bp
vs India 10Y -28.3 bp +46.0 bp -12.4 bp
vs Brazil 10Y -467.1 bp -7.8 bp -37.5 bp
vs Russia 10Y -753.4 bp -10.3 bp -223.6 bp

Philippines Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity		 Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
20 years 7.088% 25.42 35.94 56.99 78.03 99.07 120.12
10 years 6.916% 51.24 58.29 72.39 86.49 100.59 114.69
7 years 6.971% 62.39 67.79 78.58 89.37 100.16 110.95
5 years 6.667% 72.42 76.56 84.83 93.10 101.38 109.65
4 years 6.644% 77.31 80.73 87.56 94.39 101.22 108.04
3 years 6.670% 82.39 85.03 90.31 95.59 100.87 106.15
2 years 6.352% 88.41 90.24 93.88 97.53 101.18 104.83
1 year 6.054% 94.29 95.23 97.12 99.01 100.89 102.78
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

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