Germany Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
GERMANY
Last Update: 4 Oct 2024 2:23 GMT+0

The Germany 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 2.149%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

The spread between Germany 10-Year and 2-Year government bonds is 5.1 basis points (bp). This spread is a measure of the difference in yields between long-term and short-term government debt. Long-term yields should be greater than short-term ones.
Current analysis: Yield Curve is flat in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities.

Germany Central Bank Rate stands at 3.65%, following the most recent adjustment in September 2024.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Germany credit rating is AAA.

The current quotation for Germany 5-Years Credit Default Swap is 9.99 basis points. Correspondingly, the implied probability of default is 0.17%.

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Germany Yield Curve

If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield ZC Price Last
Change
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M
1 month 3.100% -59.4 bp -60.3 bp 04 Oct
3 months 3.094% -15.9 bp -72.5 bp 04 Oct
6 months 2.957% -19.6 bp -75.3 bp 04 Oct
9 months 2.734% -25.3 bp -82.9 bp 04 Oct
1 year 2.519% -28.4 bp -92.7 bp 97.54 +0.28 % +0.90 % 04 Oct
2 years 2.098% -20.9 bp -76.5 bp 95.93 +0.41 % +1.50 % 04 Oct
3 years 1.963% -22.9 bp -58.7 bp 94.33 +0.67 % +1.74 % 04 Oct
4 years 1.885% -19.2 bp -51.8 bp 92.80 +0.75 % +2.05 % 04 Oct
5 years 1.986% -10.7 bp -37.8 bp 90.64 +0.53 % +1.88 % 04 Oct
6 years 1.935% -10.5 bp -35.4 bp 89.14 +0.62 % +2.11 % 04 Oct
7 years 2.016% -9.4 bp -26.3 bp 86.96 +0.65 % +1.81 % 04 Oct
8 years 1.989% -8.8 bp -29.7 bp 85.42 +0.68 % +2.35 % 04 Oct
9 years 2.051% -8.5 bp -27.0 bp 83.30 +0.75 % +2.41 % 04 Oct
10 years 2.149% -6.3 bp -20.5 bp 80.85 +0.62 % +2.03 % 04 Oct
15 years 2.367% -3.1 bp -14.5 bp 70.40 +0.44 % +2.13 % 04 Oct
20 years 2.486% -0.5 bp -7.5 bp 61.19 +0.10 % +1.46 % 04 Oct
25 years 2.484% -0.8 bp -6.7 bp 54.15 +0.20 % +1.65 % 04 Oct
30 years 2.470% +0.8 bp -5.4 bp 48.09 -0.25 % +1.58 % 04 Oct
Last Update: 4 Oct 2024 2:23 GMT+0

Germany Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.
The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Bond Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (3.65%)
3 months 1 year 2 years 5 years 10 years
30 years 2.470% -118.0 bp
10 years 2.149%
-150.1 bp
5 years 1.986%
-166.4 bp
2 years 2.098%
-155.2 bp
1 year 2.519%
-113.1 bp
3 months 3.094%
-55.6 bp

Focusing on 2 years Government Bond:

If data are not all visible, swipe table left
2Y vs 1Y -42.1 bp Yield Curve is inverted in Short-Term Maturities
5Y vs 2Y -11.2 bp Yield Curve is inverted in Mid-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
10Y vs 2Y 5.1 bp Yield Curve is flat in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities

Germany Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation). For a deeper analysis of credit ratings, click here Germany Credit Ratings History

Rating Agency Rating Outlook
Standard & Poor's AAA -
Moody's Investors Service Aaa -
Fitch Ratings AAA -
DBRS AAA -

Germany Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 3.65%

Germany Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default Swap CDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 9.99 -3.16 % +8.93 % -52.68 % 0.17 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.
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Germany 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Germany 10Y Government Bond has a 2.149% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Germany 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 127.7 bp -4.6 bp -30.0 bp
vs China 10Y -1.1 bp -7.2 bp -6.7 bp
vs Spain 10Y -78.8 bp +3.5 bp +2.7 bp
vs France 10Y -79.9 bp -8.0 bp -28.9 bp
vs Canada 10Y -94.7 bp -14.0 bp +28.1 bp
vs Italy 10Y -133.2 bp +7.1 bp +2.1 bp
vs United States 10Y -169.5 bp -15.1 bp +25.2 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y -186.8 bp -14.4 bp -15.8 bp
vs Australia 10Y -191.9 bp -14.6 bp -11.4 bp
vs India 10Y -473.9 bp +2.6 bp +0.1 bp
vs Brazil 10Y -1016.1 bp -40.4 bp -135.9 bp
vs Russia 10Y -1405.2 bp -63.5 bp -228.6 bp

Germany Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
30 years 2.470% 48.09 69.11 111.14 153.17 195.19 237.22
25 years 2.484% 54.15 72.61 109.52 146.44 183.36 220.27
20 years 2.486% 61.19 76.80 108.02 139.24 170.46 201.68
15 years 2.367% 70.40 82.91 107.91 132.92 157.93 182.93
10 years 2.149% 80.85 89.76 107.58 125.41 143.24 161.06
9 years 2.051% 83.30 91.44 107.73 124.01 140.30 156.58
8 years 1.989% 85.42 92.75 107.41 122.07 136.73 151.38
7 years 2.016% 86.96 93.43 106.36 119.30 132.24 145.17
6 years 1.935% 89.14 94.75 105.98 117.21 128.43 139.66
5 years 1.986% 90.64 95.35 104.78 114.21 123.64 133.07
4 years 1.885% 92.80 96.62 104.26 111.89 119.53 127.17
3 years 1.963% 94.33 97.22 102.99 108.76 114.54 120.31
2 years 2.098% 95.93 97.87 101.75 105.63 109.50 113.38
1 year 2.519% 97.54 98.52 100.47 102.42 104.37 106.32
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

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