Hungary Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
HUNGARY

The Hungary 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 6.800%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

Hungary Central Bank Rate stands at 6.50%, following the most recent adjustment in September 2024.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Hungary credit rating is BBB-.

The current quotation for Hungary 5-Years Credit Default Swap is 85.59 basis points. Correspondingly, the implied probability of default is 1.43%.

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Hungary Yield Curve

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Zero Coupon Price Last
Change
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M
3 months 5.500% -11.0 bp -133.0 bp 21 Oct
6 months 5.530% -12.0 bp -150.0 bp 21 Oct
1 year 5.480% -13.0 bp -155.0 bp 94.80 +0.12 % +1.47 % 21 Oct
3 years 6.250% +34.0 bp -108.0 bp 83.37 -0.96 % +3.08 % 21 Oct
5 years 6.300% +41.0 bp -98.0 bp 73.68 -1.90 % +4.70 % 21 Oct
10 years 6.800% +46.0 bp -38.0 bp 51.79 -4.23 % +3.60 % 21 Oct
15 years 6.880% +37.0 bp -31.0 bp 36.86 -5.07 % +4.45 % 21 Oct
20 years 6.970% +38.0 bp -21.0 bp 25.99 -6.85 % +4.00 % 21 Oct
Last Update: 21 Oct 2024 20:23 GMT+0

Hungary Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.

The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Other Maturity Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (6.50%)
3 months 1 year 5 years
10 years 6.800% 30.0 bp
5 years 6.300%
-20.0 bp
1 year 5.480%
-102.0 bp
3 months 5.500%
-100.0 bp

Hungary Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation).

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Rating Agency Rating Outlook Last Update Action
Standard & Poor's BBB- - 30 Jan 2023 rating downgrade
Moody's Investors Service Baa2 - 28 Sep 2021 rating upgrade
Fitch Ratings BBB negative 23 Jan 2023 outlook downgrade
DBRS - -

Hungary Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 6.50%

Hungary Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default Swap CDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 85.59 0.00 % -2.95 % 1.43 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.
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Hungary 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Hungary 10Y Government Bond has a 6.800% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
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Hungary 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 584.0 bp +34.7 bp -49.7 bp
vs China 10Y 467.6 bp +38.7 bp -23.8 bp
vs Germany 10Y 452.2 bp +37.6 bp -15.5 bp
vs Spain 10Y 377.4 bp +47.2 bp -8.9 bp
vs France 10Y 377.2 bp +39.6 bp -38.9 bp
vs Canada 10Y 354.4 bp +15.7 bp +13.7 bp
vs Italy 10Y 328.0 bp +47.7 bp +0.9 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 266.0 bp +21.5 bp -28.9 bp
vs United States 10Y 260.6 bp +0.7 bp +5.8 bp
vs Australia 10Y 242.5 bp +8.0 bp -40.9 bp
vs India 10Y -15.0 bp +38.7 bp -10.5 bp
vs Brazil 10Y -596.1 bp +4.4 bp -173.3 bp
vs Russia 10Y -949.4 bp +3.3 bp -271.4 bp

Hungary Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
20 years 6.970% 25.99 36.61 57.84 79.08 100.32 121.56
15 years 6.880% 36.86 46.04 64.39 82.75 101.10 119.46
10 years 6.800% 51.79 58.88 73.06 87.24 101.42 115.60
5 years 6.300% 73.68 77.86 86.21 94.57 102.92 111.28
3 years 6.250% 83.37 86.03 91.35 96.67 102.00 107.32
1 year 5.480% 94.80 95.75 97.65 99.54 101.44 103.34
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
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