Netherlands Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
NETHERLANDS

The Netherlands 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 2.303%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

The yield spread between Netherlands 10-Year and 2-Year government bonds is 29.9 basis points (bp), reflecting the difference in yields between long-term and short-term debt.
Typically, long-term bonds carry higher yields than short-term ones.
Current observation: Yield Curve is flat in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities.

Netherlands Central Bank Rate stands at 3.40%, following the most recent adjustment in October 2024.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Netherlands credit rating is AAA.

The current quotation for Netherlands 5-Years Credit Default Swap is 10.35 basis points. Correspondingly, the implied probability of default is 0.17%.

Table of contents

The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing
Set your goal
Use top metrics to evaluate
Choose Bond ETFs to control risk
Join the passive investing strategy
Exclusive new asset allocations in EUR and USD

Netherlands Yield Curve

A Yield Curve is a graph that shows the relationship between interest rates (or yields) and different maturities of debt for a specific borrower, often government bonds. It typically plots yields on the y-axis and maturities on the x-axis, ranging from short-term to long-term bonds.

The shape of the yield curve gives investors insights into market expectations for interest rates, economic growth, and inflation. A normal yield curve, where long-term rates are higher than short-term, suggests economic growth, while an inverted curve, where short-term rates are higher, can indicate an upcoming recession.

Netherlands Yield Curve
Netherlands Government Bonds
8 December 2024

Loading data
Please wait
Show discontinued:
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Annualized Yield Constant Maturity Zero Coupon Price Capital
Growth
of 1 Unit
Last
Update
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M
1 month 2.866% -11.8 bp -59.0 bp -83.7 bp 99.76 0.00 % +0.04 % +0.06 % 1.002 08 Dec
3 months 2.730% -16.2 bp -74.1 bp -98.3 bp 99.33 +0.04 % +0.18 % +0.24 % 1.006 08 Dec
6 months 2.660% -16.3 bp -85.7 bp -103.7 bp 98.70 +0.08 % +0.42 % +0.51 % 1.013 08 Dec
2 years 2.004% -20.8 bp -107.2 bp -84.7 bp 96.11 +0.41 % +2.11 % +1.67 % 1.040 08 Dec
3 years 2.021% -20.6 bp -93.6 bp -55.1 bp 94.17 +0.60 % +2.77 % +1.63 % 1.061 08 Dec
4 years 2.063% -18.5 bp -81.5 bp -40.9 bp 92.16 +0.73 % +3.24 % +1.62 % 1.085 08 Dec
5 years 2.087% -23.9 bp -76.0 bp -36.3 bp 90.19 +1.18 % +3.79 % +1.79 % 1.108 08 Dec
6 years 2.102% -27.6 bp -73.0 bp -38.2 bp 88.27 +1.64 % +4.38 % +2.27 % 1.132 08 Dec
7 years 2.135% -29.0 bp -69.4 bp -32.2 bp 86.25 +2.00 % +4.85 % +2.23 % 1.159 08 Dec
8 years 2.218% -26.0 bp -64.3 bp -26.9 bp 83.90 +2.04 % +5.14 % +2.12 % 1.191 08 Dec
9 years 2.252% -30.2 bp -63.1 bp -30.9 bp 81.84 +2.70 % +5.70 % +2.75 % 1.221 08 Dec
10 years 2.303% -30.2 bp -62.0 bp -30.4 bp 79.64 +3.00 % +6.23 % +3.01 % 1.255 08 Dec
15 years 2.423% -35.1 bp -55.7 bp -32.5 bp 69.83 +5.26 % +8.48 % +4.87 % 1.432 08 Dec
20 years 2.462% -30.9 bp -52.7 bp -27.4 bp 61.48 +6.20 % +10.79 % +5.49 % 1.626 08 Dec
25 years 2.415% -34.5 bp -52.4 bp -27.1 bp 55.07 +8.77 % +13.62 % +6.83 % 1.815 08 Dec
30 years 2.430% -32.1 bp -48.1 bp -25.4 bp 48.66 +9.84 % +15.09 % +7.70 % 2.055 08 Dec
Last Update: 8 Dec 2024, 9:23 GMT+0

Netherlands Yield History

This table presents the historical values of the yield curve, with data points collected at the end of each year.

By analyzing these values over time, one can observe trends and shifts in economic sentiment and monetary policy that impact investor expectations about future interest rates and economic growth.

If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Government Bonds Yield (%)
Spread (bp)
Period 1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y 30Y 10Y - 2Y
Dec 2024 2.866 2.730 2.660 n.a. 2.004 2.021 2.087 2.135 2.303 2.430 29.9
Dec 2023 3.709 3.723 3.539 n.a. 2.402 2.218 2.299 2.213 2.320 2.495 -8.2
Dec 2022 1.050 1.645 1.982 n.a. 2.688 2.697 2.718 2.837 2.906 2.727 21.8
Dec 2021 -0.934 -0.879 0.025 n.a. -0.729 -0.586 -0.443 -0.297 -0.034 0.313 69.5
Dec 2020 -0.930 -0.813 -0.700 n.a. -0.730 -0.740 -0.718 -0.642 -0.491 -0.204 23.9
Dec 2019 -0.665 -0.681 -0.632 n.a. -0.624 -0.604 -0.430 -0.277 -0.060 0.333 56.4
Dec 2018 -0.979 -0.812 -0.858 n.a. -0.585 -0.478 -0.158 0.152 0.385 0.914 97.0
Dec 2017 -0.838 -0.762 -0.790 n.a. -0.696 -0.541 -0.227 0.088 0.530 1.253 122.6
Dec 2016 n.a. -1.110 -0.913 n.a. -0.738 -0.729 -0.527 -0.168 0.345 1.041 108.3
Dec 2015 n.a. -0.497 -0.475 n.a. -0.353 -0.267 -0.035 0.261 0.794 1.593 114.7

Netherlands Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.

The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

Internal Spread on Key Maturities:
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
5Y vs 2Y 8.3 bp Yield Curve is flat in Mid-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
10Y vs 2Y 29.9 bp Yield Curve is flat in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (3.40%)
3 months 2 years 5 years 10 years
30 years 2.430% -97.0bp
10 years 2.303%
-109.7bp
5 years 2.087%
-131.3bp
2 years 2.004%
-139.6bp
3 months 2.730%
-67.0bp

Netherlands Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation).

Swipe left to see all data
Rating Agency Rating Outlook Last Update Action
Standard & Poor's AAA - 20 Nov 2015 rating upgrade
Moody's Investors Service Aaa - 7 Mar 2014 outlook upgrade
Fitch Ratings AAA - 11 Jul 2014 outlook upgrade
DBRS AAA - 12 May 2011

Netherlands Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 3.40%

Netherlands Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Credit Default Swap CDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 10.35 -1.48 % +8.75 % -24.05 % 0.17 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.
The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing

Netherlands 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Netherlands 10Y Government Bond has a 2.303% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Netherlands 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 125.7 bp -36.1 bp -70.0 bp -58.3 bp
vs China 10Y 34.3 bp -14.1 bp -26.1 bp +43.4 bp
vs Germany 10Y 20.1 bp -4.0 bp -9.8 bp -14.6 bp
vs Spain 10Y -45.5 bp +1.8 bp +1.9 bp +21.4 bp
vs France 10Y -57.0 bp -7.9 bp -38.8 bp -36.0 bp
vs Canada 10Y -67.6 bp -7.5 bp -10.6 bp +11.9 bp
vs Italy 10Y -89.2 bp +15.2 bp +12.8 bp +55.6 bp
vs United States 10Y -184.5 bp -14.2 bp -33.5 bp -21.8 bp
vs Australia 10Y -194.4 bp +5.2 bp -53.8 bp -19.2 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y -197.4 bp -14.7 bp -64.3 bp -55.7 bp
vs India 10Y -443.7 bp -15.7 bp -34.2 bp +22.2 bp
vs Brazil 10Y -1172.7 bp -164.4 bp -281.9 bp -342.6 bp
vs Russia 10Y -1367.2 bp -29.8 bp -177.5 bp -389.9 bp

Netherlands Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
30 years 2.430% 48.66 69.79 112.04 154.30 196.55 238.80
25 years 2.415% 55.07 73.67 110.88 148.09 185.30 222.51
20 years 2.462% 61.48 77.13 108.42 139.71 171.00 202.29
15 years 2.423% 69.83 82.28 107.18 132.09 156.99 181.90
10 years 2.303% 79.64 88.48 106.16 123.85 141.53 159.21
9 years 2.252% 81.84 89.90 106.03 122.16 138.29 154.42
8 years 2.218% 83.90 91.16 105.68 120.19 134.70 149.22
7 years 2.135% 86.25 92.69 105.57 118.45 131.32 144.20
6 years 2.102% 88.27 93.85 105.01 116.18 127.34 138.51
5 years 2.087% 90.19 94.89 104.29 113.70 123.10 132.50
4 years 2.063% 92.16 95.96 103.56 111.17 118.77 126.37
3 years 2.021% 94.17 97.06 102.82 108.59 114.35 120.12
2 years 2.004% 96.11 98.05 101.93 105.82 109.70 113.58
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing