Norway Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
NORWAY

The Norway 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 3.743%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

Norway Central Bank Rate stands at 4.50%, following the most recent adjustment in December 2023.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Norway credit rating is AAA.

The current quotation for Norway 5-Years Credit Default Swap is 12.90 basis points. Correspondingly, the implied probability of default is 0.22%.

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Norway Yield Curve

A Yield Curve is a graph that shows the relationship between interest rates (or yields) and different maturities of debt for a specific borrower, often government bonds. It typically plots yields on the y-axis and maturities on the x-axis, ranging from short-term to long-term bonds.

The shape of the yield curve gives investors insights into market expectations for interest rates, economic growth, and inflation. A normal yield curve, where long-term rates are higher than short-term, suggests economic growth, while an inverted curve, where short-term rates are higher, can indicate an upcoming recession.

Norway Yield Curve
Norway Government Bonds
14 December 2024

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Residual
Maturity
Annualized Yield Constant Maturity Zero Coupon Price Capital
Growth
of 1 Unit
Last
Update
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M
6 months 4.498% -7.4 bp +9.7 bp -15.9 bp 97.82 +0.03 % -0.05 % +0.07 % 1.022 14 Dec
9 months 4.423% -4.5 bp -6.7 bp -12.9 bp 96.81 +0.04 % +0.05 % +0.09 % 1.032 14 Dec
1 year 4.288% -7.0 bp -18.0 bp -14.9 bp 95.89 +0.07 % +0.18 % +0.15 % 1.042 14 Dec
3 years 3.966% +12.0 bp +33.3 bp +40.1 bp 88.99 -0.35 % -0.96 % -1.14 % 1.123 14 Dec
5 years 3.757% +3.0 bp +28.5 bp +52.0 bp 83.16 -0.14 % -1.36 % -2.49 % 1.202 14 Dec
10 years 3.743% -3.2 bp +23.3 bp +49.9 bp 69.25 +0.30 % -2.22 % -4.71 % 1.444 14 Dec
20 years 3.740% +4.4 bp +31.3 bp +66.0 bp 47.98 -0.85 % -5.87 % -11.98 % 2.084 14 Dec
Last Update: 14 Dec 2024, 15:23 GMT+0

Norway Yield History

This table presents the historical values of the yield curve, with data points collected at the end of each year.

By analyzing these values over time, one can observe trends and shifts in economic sentiment and monetary policy that impact investor expectations about future interest rates and economic growth.

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Government Bonds Yield (%)
Spread (bp)
Period 1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y 30Y 10Y - 2Y
Dec 2024 n.a. n.a. 4.498 4.288 n.a. 3.966 3.757 n.a. 3.743 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2023 n.a. n.a. 4.477 4.338 n.a. 3.620 3.282 n.a. 3.300 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2022 n.a. 2.945 3.062 3.156 n.a. 3.110 3.063 n.a. 3.188 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2021 n.a. 0.421 0.652 0.991 n.a. 1.512 1.627 n.a. 1.698 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2020 n.a. 0.001 0.022 0.060 0.115 n.a. 0.546 n.a. 0.933 n.a. 81.8
Dec 2019 n.a. 0.992 1.022 1.259 1.302 n.a. 1.400 n.a. 1.543 n.a. 24.1
Dec 2018 0.690 0.894 0.931 1.033 n.a. 0.336 1.439 n.a. 1.770 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2017 0.390 0.815 0.418 0.485 0.457 n.a. 1.190 n.a. 1.610 n.a. 115.3
Dec 2016 0.390 0.583 0.553 0.556 0.755 n.a. 1.103 n.a. 1.656 n.a. 90.1
Dec 2015 0.930 0.671 0.595 0.577 0.649 n.a. 1.020 n.a. 1.478 n.a. 82.9

Norway Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.

The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (4.50%)
1 year 5 years
10 years 3.743% -75.7bp
5 years 3.757%
-74.3bp
1 year 4.288%
-21.2bp

Norway Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation).

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Rating Agency Rating Outlook Last Update Action
Standard & Poor's AAA - 8 Nov 1990 outlook upgrade
Moody's Investors Service Aaa - 30 Sep 1997 rating upgrade
Fitch Ratings AAA - 13 Mar 1995
DBRS AAA - 21 Mar 2012

Norway Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 4.50%

Norway Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default Swap CDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 12.90 0.00 % 0.00 % +29.00 % 0.22 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.
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Norway 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Norway 10Y Government Bond has a 3.743% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
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Norway 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 270.8 bp -1.3 bp +11.8 bp +12.3 bp
vs China 10Y 196.3 bp +28.8 bp +75.5 bp +138.6 bp
vs Germany 10Y 148.1 bp +4.8 bp +32.7 bp +35.2 bp
vs Spain 10Y 80.9 bp +11.1 bp +65.0 bp +64.9 bp
vs France 10Y 69.7 bp +1.6 bp +35.1 bp +10.3 bp
vs Canada 10Y 56.7 bp +10.7 bp +36.7 bp +50.0 bp
vs Italy 10Y 34.1 bp +10.7 bp +77.1 bp +91.5 bp
vs Australia 10Y -64.7 bp +28.7 bp -2.0 bp +20.7 bp
vs United States 10Y -65.8 bp +2.5 bp +4.7 bp +1.8 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y -67.8 bp +2.8 bp -14.3 bp -13.2 bp
vs India 10Y -309.6 bp +7.6 bp +37.8 bp +85.4 bp
vs Brazil 10Y -1011.8 bp -98.3 bp -161.8 bp -265.0 bp
vs Russia 10Y -1262.2 bp -64.4 bp -100.2 bp -318.1 bp

Norway Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
20 years 3.740% 47.98 61.89 89.71 117.52 145.34 173.16
10 years 3.743% 69.25 77.46 93.90 110.33 126.76 143.19
5 years 3.757% 83.16 87.64 96.61 105.57 114.54 123.50
3 years 3.966% 88.99 91.76 97.32 102.87 108.43 113.98
1 year 4.288% 95.89 96.85 98.76 100.68 102.60 104.52
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
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