Pakistan Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
PAKISTAN
Last Update: 28 Nov 2023 15:15 GMT+0

The Pakistan 10Y Government Bond has a 15.637% yield.

Central Bank Rate is 22.00% (last modification in June 2023).

The Pakistan credit rating is CCC+, according to Standard & Poor's agency.

Current 5-Years Credit Default Swap quotation is 505.92 and implied probability of default is 8.43%.

Table of contents

Pakistan Yield Curve

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Residual
Maturity
Yield ZC Price Last
Change
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M
3 years 18.411% -99.3 bp -156.6 bp 60.23 +2.54 % +4.02 % 28 Nov
5 years 16.504% +46.9 bp +91.9 bp 46.59 -2.00 % -3.88 % 28 Nov
10 years 15.637% -8.6 bp +4.8 bp 23.39 +0.73 % -0.43 % 28 Nov
14 years 15.281% -29.2 bp -36.3 bp 13.66 +3.64 % +4.51 % 28 Nov
20 years 15.264% -29.5 bp -37.7 bp 5.84 +5.23 % +6.76 % 28 Nov
Last Update: 28 Nov 2023 15:15 GMT+0

Pakistan Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.
The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Bond Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (22.00%)
5 years
10 years 15.637% -636.3 bp
5 years 16.504%
-549.6 bp

Pakistan Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation). For a deeper analysis of credit ratings, click here Pakistan Credit Ratings History

Rating Agency Rating Outlook
Standard & Poor's CCC+ -
Moody's Investors Service Caa3 -
Fitch Ratings CCC -
DBRS - -

Pakistan Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 22.00%

Pakistan Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default Swap CDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 505.92 +4.74 % +9.47 % +12.08 % 8.43 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.

Pakistan 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Pakistan 10Y Government Bond has a 15.637% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
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Pakistan 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 1488.4 bp +3.5 bp -29.0 bp
vs Germany 10Y 1313.2 bp +22.3 bp +7.8 bp
vs China 10Y 1293.2 bp -5.6 bp +7.7 bp
vs France 10Y 1256.5 bp +28.2 bp +7.5 bp
vs Spain 10Y 1212.8 bp +31.4 bp +11.5 bp
vs Canada 10Y 1198.9 bp +28.4 bp -24.1 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 1141.5 bp +25.4 bp +15.4 bp
vs Italy 10Y 1137.2 bp +48.8 bp +15.2 bp
vs United States 10Y 1127.2 bp +39.4 bp -50.5 bp
vs Australia 10Y 1117.2 bp +26.6 bp -69.3 bp
vs India 10Y 836.4 bp -0.8 bp -22.2 bp
vs Brazil 10Y 466.5 bp +66.3 bp +69.2 bp
vs Russia 10Y 356.7 bp +33.4 bp -132.2 bp

Pakistan Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
20 years 15.264% 5.84 12.01 24.34 36.68 49.02 61.36
14 years 15.281% 13.66 19.31 30.61 41.91 53.21 64.51
10 years 15.637% 23.39 28.29 38.09 47.89 57.68 67.48
5 years 16.504% 46.59 49.83 56.30 62.77 69.24 75.72
3 years 18.411% 60.23 62.39 66.71 71.03 75.35 79.67
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

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