Poland Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
POLAND
Last Update: 24 May 2024 2:15 GMT+0

The Poland 10Y Government Bond has a 5.731% yield.

10 Years vs 2 Years bond spread is 40.3 bp.
Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities.

Central Bank Rate is 5.75% (last modification in October 2023).

The Poland credit rating is A-, according to Standard & Poor's agency.

Current 5-Years Credit Default Swap quotation is 151.00 and implied probability of default is 2.52%.

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Poland Yield Curve

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Residual
Maturity
Yield ZC Price Last
Change
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M
1 month 5.600% -10.0 bp -18.0 bp 24 May
2 months 5.500% -10.0 bp -118.0 bp 24 May
1 year 5.126% -9.7 bp -19.4 bp 95.12 +0.08 % +0.18 % 23 May
2 years 5.328% +3.5 bp -6.0 bp 90.14 -0.07 % +0.11 % 23 May
3 years 5.432% +8.4 bp +7.3 bp 85.33 -0.23 % -0.20 % 23 May
4 years 5.455% +1.1 bp +9.7 bp 80.86 -0.04 % -0.37 % 23 May
5 years 5.595% +0.7 bp +17.1 bp 76.17 -0.04 % -0.81 % 23 May
6 years 5.598% +4.7 bp +22.2 bp 72.12 -0.26 % -1.26 % 23 May
7 years 5.501% -12.6 bp +11.2 bp 68.74 +0.84 % -0.74 % 15 May
8 years 5.652% -9.2 bp -15.5 bp 64.41 +0.69 % +1.18 % 22 May
10 years 5.731% -2.0 bp +10.9 bp 57.28 +0.19 % -1.02 % 23 May
Last Update: 24 May 2024 2:15 GMT+0

Poland Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.
The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Bond Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (5.75%)
1 year 2 years 5 years
10 years 5.731% -1.9 bp
5 years 5.595%
-15.5 bp
2 years 5.328%
-42.2 bp
1 year 5.126%
-62.4 bp

Focusing on 2 years Government Bond:

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2Y vs 1Y 20.2 bp Normal Convexity in Short-Term Maturities
5Y vs 2Y 26.7 bp Normal Convexity in Mid-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
10Y vs 2Y 40.3 bp Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities

Poland Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation). For a deeper analysis of credit ratings, click here Poland Credit Ratings History

Rating Agency Rating Outlook
Standard & Poor's A- -
Moody's Investors Service A2 -
Fitch Ratings A- -
DBRS A -

Poland Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 5.75%

Poland Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default Swap CDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 151.00 0.00 % 0.00 % +189.27 % 2.52 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.

Poland 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Poland 10Y Government Bond has a 5.731% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Poland 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 473.3 bp -12.9 bp -11.7 bp
vs China 10Y 341.3 bp -5.5 bp +51.4 bp
vs Germany 10Y 314.3 bp -1.9 bp +15.1 bp
vs France 10Y 265.2 bp -0.9 bp +22.4 bp
vs Spain 10Y 239.5 bp +2.3 bp +38.9 bp
vs Canada 10Y 208.0 bp +15.9 bp +21.1 bp
vs Italy 10Y 184.4 bp +4.6 bp +61.4 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 143.7 bp +1.8 bp +9.6 bp
vs Australia 10Y 136.8 bp +11.3 bp +29.0 bp
vs United States 10Y 125.8 bp +15.1 bp +10.8 bp
vs India 10Y -126.6 bp +16.9 bp +38.4 bp
vs Brazil 10Y -597.1 bp -29.4 bp -49.4 bp
vs Russia 10Y -870.9 bp -29.0 bp -229.6 bp

Poland Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
10 years 5.731% 57.28 64.73 79.64 94.55 109.46 124.37
8 years 5.652% 64.41 70.71 83.30 95.89 108.49 121.08
7 years 5.501% 68.74 74.42 85.79 97.15 108.52 119.88
6 years 5.598% 72.12 77.10 87.06 97.02 106.98 116.94
5 years 5.595% 76.17 80.43 88.95 97.47 105.98 114.50
4 years 5.455% 80.86 84.37 91.39 98.40 105.42 112.44
3 years 5.432% 85.33 88.03 93.43 98.83 104.24 109.64
2 years 5.328% 90.14 91.99 95.69 99.39 103.09 106.80
1 year 5.126% 95.12 96.08 97.98 99.88 101.78 103.69
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

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