Russia Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
RUSSIA

The Russia 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 16.294%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

The yield spread between Russia 10-Year and 2-Year government bonds is -311.7 basis points (bp), reflecting the difference in yields between long-term and short-term debt.
Typically, long-term bonds carry higher yields than short-term ones.
Current observation: Yield Curve is inverted in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities.

Russia Central Bank Rate stands at 19.00%, following the most recent adjustment in September 2024.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Russia credit rating is NR.

The current quotation for Russia 5-Years Credit Default Swap is 13,775.17 basis points. Correspondingly, the implied probability of default is 100.00%.

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Russia Yield Curve

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Zero Coupon Price Last
Change
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M
1 month 18.722% +42.0 bp n.a. 21 Oct
2 months 18.816% +45.5 bp n.a. 21 Oct
3 months 18.906% +49.0 bp n.a. 21 Oct
6 months 19.120% +58.1 bp n.a. 21 Oct
1 year 19.377% +72.9 bp +369.7 bp 83.77 -0.61 % -3.10 % 21 Oct
2 years 19.411% +89.8 bp +428.1 bp 70.13 -1.50 % -7.04 % 21 Oct
3 years 19.082% +93.1 bp +473.2 bp 59.22 -2.33 % -11.45 % 21 Oct
5 years 18.113% +80.8 bp +457.3 bp 43.50 -3.38 % -17.92 % 21 Oct
7 years 17.228% +63.2 bp +379.8 bp 32.87 -3.72 % -20.58 % 21 Oct
10 years 16.294% +42.7 bp +233.4 bp 22.10 -3.62 % -18.36 % 21 Oct
15 years 15.433% +23.9 bp +200.3 bp 11.62 -3.01 % -23.05 % 21 Oct
20 years 14.984% +14.3 bp +116.4 bp 6.13 -2.39 % -18.38 % 21 Oct
Last Update: 21 Oct 2024 20:23 GMT+0

Russia Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.

The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

Internal Spread on Key Maturities:
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2Y vs 1Y 3.4 bp Yield Curve is flat in Short-Term Maturities
5Y vs 2Y -129.8 bp Yield Curve is inverted in Mid-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
10Y vs 2Y -311.7 bp Yield Curve is inverted in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Other Maturity Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (19.00%)
3 months 1 year 2 years 5 years
10 years 16.294% -270.6 bp
5 years 18.113%
-88.7 bp
2 years 19.411%
41.1 bp
1 year 19.377%
37.7 bp
3 months 18.906%
-9.4 bp

Russia Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation).

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Rating Agency Rating Outlook Last Update Action
Standard & Poor's NR - 11 Apr 2022 rating downgrade
Moody's Investors Service NR - 19 Apr 2022 rating downgrade
Fitch Ratings NR - 19 Apr 2022 rating downgrade
DBRS - -

Russia Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 19.00%

Russia Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default Swap CDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 13,775.17 0.00 % 0.00 % 0.00 % 100.00 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.
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Russia 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Russia 10Y Government Bond has a 16.294% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Russia 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 1533.4 bp +31.4 bp +221.7 bp
vs China 10Y 1417.0 bp +35.4 bp +247.6 bp
vs Germany 10Y 1401.6 bp +34.3 bp +255.9 bp
vs Spain 10Y 1326.8 bp +43.9 bp +262.5 bp
vs France 10Y 1326.6 bp +36.3 bp +232.5 bp
vs Canada 10Y 1303.8 bp +12.4 bp +285.1 bp
vs Italy 10Y 1277.4 bp +44.4 bp +272.3 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 1215.4 bp +18.2 bp +242.5 bp
vs United States 10Y 1210.0 bp -2.6 bp +277.2 bp
vs Australia 10Y 1191.9 bp +4.7 bp +230.5 bp
vs India 10Y 934.4 bp +35.4 bp +260.9 bp
vs Brazil 10Y 353.3 bp +1.1 bp +98.1 bp

Russia Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
20 years 14.984% 6.13 12.39 24.92 37.45 49.98 62.51
15 years 15.433% 11.62 17.34 28.80 40.25 51.70 63.16
10 years 16.294% 22.10 26.88 36.44 46.01 55.57 65.13
7 years 17.228% 32.87 36.77 44.56 52.35 60.15 67.94
5 years 18.113% 43.50 46.62 52.86 59.10 65.34 71.57
3 years 19.082% 59.22 61.36 65.63 69.90 74.18 78.45
2 years 19.411% 70.13 71.67 74.75 77.82 80.90 83.98
1 year 19.377% 83.77 84.61 86.28 87.96 89.63 91.31
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
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