The Ukraine 10-Year Government Bond has an estimated 15.535% yield. Its value is not derived from the market, but it's calculated according to the yields of other available durations. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.
Ukraine Central Bank Rate stands at 13.00%, following the most recent adjustment in June 2024.
According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Ukraine credit rating is CC.
The current quotation for Ukraine 5-Years Credit Default Swap is 550.90 basis points. Correspondingly, the implied probability of default is 9.18%.
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Ukraine Yield Curve
| Residual Maturity |
Yield | ZC Price | Last Change |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last | Chg 1M | Chg 6M | Last | Chg 1M | Chg 6M | ||||
| 1 year | 64.350% | -395.0 bp | +3499.5 bp | 60.85 | +2.41 % | -21.29 % | 27 Jul | ||
| 2 years | 35.670% | +48.0 bp | +1992.5 bp | 54.33 | -0.71 % | -27.21 % | 27 Jul | ||
| 3 years | 31.070% | -94.0 bp | +1569.0 bp | 44.41 | +2.16 % | -31.78 % | 27 Jul | ||
| 6 years | 18.235% | 0.0 bp | 0.0 bp | 36.60 | 0.00 % | 0.00 % | 11 Sep | ||
| Last Update: 27 Jul 2024 2:15 GMT+0 | |||||||||
Ukraine Yield Analysis
Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases.
For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive.
If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.
The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).
| Residual Maturity |
Yield | Spread vs Bond | Spread vs Central Bank Rate (13.00%) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 year | ||||
| 2 years | 35.670% | 2267.0 bp | ||
| 1 year | 64.350% | 5135.0 bp |
Focusing on 2 years Government Bond:
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Ukraine Credit Ratings
A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation). For a deeper analysis of credit ratings, click here Ukraine Credit Ratings History
| Rating Agency | Rating | Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| Standard & Poor's | CC | negative |
| Moody's Investors Service | Ca | - |
| Fitch Ratings | CC | - |
| DBRS | - | - |
Ukraine Interest Rates
A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.
| Interest Rates | Value | |
|---|---|---|
| Central Bank Rate | 13.00% |
Ukraine Credit Default Swaps
The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.
| Credit Default Swap | CDS Value | Var % 1W | Var % 1M | Var % 1Y | Implied PD(*) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Years CDS | 550.90 | +1.06 % | +1.84 % | +32.82 % | 9.18 % | |
| (*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate. |
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Ukraine 10Y Bond Yield Spread
The Ukraine 10Y Government Bond has an estimated 15.535% yield.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
Ukraine Government Bonds Prices
Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
| Residual Maturity |
Yield | Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates | Fx | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | ||||
| 3 years | 31.070% | 44.41 | 46.20 | 49.78 | 53.36 | 56.94 | 60.51 | ||
| 2 years | 35.670% | 54.33 | 55.61 | 58.17 | 60.73 | 63.29 | 65.85 | ||
| 1 year | 64.350% | 60.85 | 61.45 | 62.67 | 63.89 | 65.10 | 66.32 | ||
| Maturity Date | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | |||
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