Zambia Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
ZAMBIA

The Zambia 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 22.640%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

The yield spread between Zambia 10-Year and 2-Year government bonds is 464.8 basis points (bp), reflecting the difference in yields between long-term and short-term debt.
Typically, long-term bonds carry higher yields than short-term ones.
Current observation: Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities.

Zambia Central Bank Rate stands at 14.00%, following the most recent adjustment in November 2024.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Zambia credit rating is SD.

Table of contents

The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing
Set your goal
Use top metrics to evaluate
Choose Bond ETFs to control risk
Join the passive investing strategy
Exclusive new asset allocations in EUR and USD

Zambia Yield Curve

A Yield Curve is a graph that shows the relationship between interest rates (or yields) and different maturities of debt for a specific borrower, often government bonds. It typically plots yields on the y-axis and maturities on the x-axis, ranging from short-term to long-term bonds.

The shape of the yield curve gives investors insights into market expectations for interest rates, economic growth, and inflation. A normal yield curve, where long-term rates are higher than short-term, suggests economic growth, while an inverted curve, where short-term rates are higher, can indicate an upcoming recession.

Zambia Yield Curve
Zambia Government Bonds
8 December 2024

Loading data
Please wait
Show discontinued:
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Annualized Yield Constant Maturity Zero Coupon Price Capital
Growth
of 1 Unit
Last
Update
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M
6 months 11.454% +35.3 bp -104.9 bp -99.9 bp 94.72 -0.16 % +0.47 % +0.45 % 1.055 06 Dec
9 months 11.706% +10.4 bp -159.5 bp -87.8 bp 92.03 -0.08 % +1.07 % +0.59 % 1.086 06 Dec
1 year 15.984% +296.2 bp -151.6 bp +172.5 bp 86.22 -2.55 % +1.30 % -1.49 % 1.159 06 Dec
2 years 17.992% -16.2 bp +549.2 bp +419.2 bp 71.83 +0.28 % -9.09 % -6.98 % 1.392 06 Dec
3 years 11.561% -21.7 bp -745.3 bp -699.3 bp 72.02 +0.59 % +21.41 % +20.01 % 1.388 06 Dec
5 years 19.652% +24.0 bp -238.5 bp -398.6 bp 40.78 -1.00 % +10.40 % +17.83 % 2.452 06 Dec
7 years 21.640% -17.1 bp -196.3 bp -289.0 bp 25.38 +0.99 % +11.86 % +17.88 % 3.940 06 Dec
10 years 22.640% +43.0 bp -239.0 bp -338.0 bp 12.99 -3.49 % +21.29 % +31.21 % 7.696 08 Dec
15 years 23.657% +9.9 bp -330.6 bp -395.7 bp 4.14 -1.19 % +48.39 % +60.47 % 24.170 06 Dec
Last Update: 8 Dec 2024, 0:15 GMT+0

Zambia Yield History

This table presents the historical values of the yield curve, with data points collected at the end of each year.

By analyzing these values over time, one can observe trends and shifts in economic sentiment and monetary policy that impact investor expectations about future interest rates and economic growth.

If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Government Bonds Yield (%)
Spread (bp)
Period 1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y 30Y 10Y - 2Y
Dec 2024 n.a. n.a. 11.454 15.984 17.992 11.561 19.652 21.640 22.640 n.a. 464.8
Dec 2023 n.a. n.a. 12.501 18.501 13.278 18.722 23.623 24.162 25.500 n.a. 1222.2
Dec 2022 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 30.520 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2021 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 25.000 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2020 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 38.000 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2019 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 32.500 n.a. n.a.

Zambia Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.

The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

Internal Spread on Key Maturities:
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
2Y vs 1Y 200.8 bp Yield Curve is flat in Short-Term Maturities
5Y vs 2Y 166.0 bp Normal Convexity in Mid-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
10Y vs 2Y 464.8 bp Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (14.00%)
1 year 2 years 5 years
10 years 22.640% 864.0bp
5 years 19.652%
565.2bp
2 years 17.992%
399.2bp
1 year 15.984%
198.4bp

Zambia Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation).

Swipe left to see all data
Rating Agency Rating Outlook Last Update Action
Standard & Poor's SD - 22 Oct 2020 rating downgrade
Moody's Investors Service Caa2 - 17 Jun 2024 rating upgrade
Fitch Ratings RD - 18 Nov 2020 rating downgrade
DBRS - -

Zambia Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 14.00%
The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing

Zambia 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Zambia 10Y Government Bond has a 22.640% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Zambia 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 2159.4 bp +37.1 bp -247.0 bp -365.9 bp
vs China 10Y 2068.0 bp +59.1 bp -203.1 bp -264.2 bp
vs Germany 10Y 2053.8 bp +69.2 bp -186.8 bp -322.2 bp
vs Spain 10Y 1988.2 bp +75.0 bp -175.1 bp -286.2 bp
vs France 10Y 1976.7 bp +65.3 bp -215.8 bp -343.6 bp
vs Canada 10Y 1966.1 bp +65.7 bp -187.6 bp -295.7 bp
vs Italy 10Y 1944.5 bp +88.4 bp -164.2 bp -252.0 bp
vs United States 10Y 1849.2 bp +59.0 bp -210.5 bp -329.4 bp
vs Australia 10Y 1839.3 bp +78.4 bp -230.8 bp -326.8 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 1836.3 bp +58.5 bp -241.3 bp -363.3 bp
vs India 10Y 1590.0 bp +57.5 bp -211.2 bp -285.4 bp
vs Brazil 10Y 861.0 bp -91.2 bp -458.9 bp -650.2 bp
vs Russia 10Y 666.5 bp +43.4 bp -354.5 bp -697.5 bp

Zambia Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
15 years 23.657% 4.14 8.19 16.29 24.40 32.50 40.61
10 years 22.640% 12.99 16.84 24.52 32.21 39.89 47.58
7 years 21.640% 25.38 28.83 35.72 42.62 49.52 56.41
5 years 19.652% 40.78 43.79 49.82 55.84 61.87 67.90
3 years 11.561% 72.02 74.44 79.28 84.12 88.96 93.80
2 years 17.992% 71.83 73.39 76.53 79.66 82.79 85.92
1 year 15.984% 86.22 87.08 88.81 90.53 92.25 93.98
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing