Ukraine Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
UKRAINE
Last Update: 27 Apr 2024 2:15 GMT+0

The Ukraine 10Y Government Bond has an estimated 12.920% yield. Its value is not derived from the market, but it's calculated according to the yields of other available durations.

Central Bank Rate is 13.50% (last modification in April 2024).

The Ukraine credit rating is CC, according to Standard & Poor's agency.

Current 5-Years Credit Default Swap quotation is 550.90 and implied probability of default is 9.18%.

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Ukraine Yield Curve

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Residual
Maturity
Yield ZC Price Last
Change
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M
1 year 38.450% +327.5 bp +969.0 bp 72.23 -2.37 % -6.99 % 26 Apr
2 years 18.000% +14.0 bp -615.5 bp 71.82 -0.24 % +10.71 % 24 Apr
3 years 17.365% +110.0 bp -102.5 bp 61.86 -2.78 % +2.66 % 26 Apr
6 years 18.235% 0.0 bp 0.0 bp 36.60 0.00 % 0.00 % 11 Sep
Last Update: 27 Apr 2024 2:15 GMT+0

Ukraine Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.
The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Bond Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (13.50%)
1 year
2 years 18.000% 450.0 bp
1 year 38.450%
2495.0 bp

Focusing on 2 years Government Bond:

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2Y vs 1Y -2045 bp Yield Curve is inverted in Short-Term Maturities

Ukraine Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation). For a deeper analysis of credit ratings, click here Ukraine Credit Ratings History

Rating Agency Rating Outlook
Standard & Poor's CC negative
Moody's Investors Service Ca -
Fitch Ratings CC -
DBRS - -

Ukraine Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 13.50%

Ukraine Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default Swap CDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 550.90 +1.06 % +1.84 % +32.82 % 9.18 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.

Ukraine 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Ukraine 10Y Government Bond has an estimated 12.920% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
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Ukraine 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 1203.8 bp +461.6 bp +371.7 bp
vs China 10Y 1071.5 bp +489.4 bp +425.5 bp
vs Germany 10Y 1034.2 bp +449.9 bp +396.1 bp
vs France 10Y 985.1 bp +450.7 bp +409.6 bp
vs Spain 10Y 954.9 bp +454.8 bp +426.3 bp
vs Canada 10Y 906.9 bp +440.4 bp +388.9 bp
vs Italy 10Y 903.0 bp +451.2 bp +467.4 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 859.2 bp +439.1 bp +395.9 bp
vs Australia 10Y 838.0 bp +423.9 bp +399.8 bp
vs United States 10Y 825.7 bp +431.2 bp +390.0 bp
vs India 10Y 572.1 bp +466.0 bp +387.7 bp
vs Brazil 10Y 133.3 bp +412.2 bp +362.6 bp
vs Russia 10Y -153.0 bp +409.7 bp +176.5 bp

Ukraine Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
3 years 17.365% 61.86 64.05 68.45 72.84 77.23 81.63
2 years 18.000% 71.82 73.38 76.52 79.65 82.78 85.91
1 year 38.450% 72.23 72.95 74.40 75.84 77.28 78.73
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

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