Inverted Yield Curves

Last Update: 26 Jul 2024 23:23 GMT+0

25 countries have an inverted yield curve.

An inverted yield curve is an interest rate environment in which long-term bonds have a lower yield than short-term ones.

An inverted yield curve is often considered a predictor of economic recession.

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Detailed domestic spreads

The convexity of the yield curve can be estimated calculating the spread between Government Bonds with long, medium and short maturity.

If the spread between the 10 years and the 2 years Government Bond is negative, it's a strong signal of totally inverted yield curve.

Signals of partially or minimally inverted yield curve are a negative 5Y vs 2Y spread or a negative 2Y vs 1Y spread.

Cells with red background shows an inverted yield case.
Cells with yellow background shows a flat yield case.
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Country Long vs Short Term
10Y vs 2Y Spread
Mid vs Short Term
5Y vs 2Y Spread
Short Term
2Y vs 1Y Spread
Ukraine
Turkey
Nigeria
Pakistan
Malta
Egypt
Iceland
Russia
Kazakhstan
Mexico
Croatia
Norway
Denmark
Qatar
Kenya
Canada
Germany
United States
Switzerland
Hong Kong
Lithuania
Sweden
Bahrain
Singapore
Austria
Latvia
Cyprus
Ireland
South Korea
Netherlands
Finland
New Zealand
India
Slovenia
Czech Republic
United Kingdom
Australia
Belgium
Slovakia
Philippines
France
Brazil
Bangladesh
Thailand
Spain
Taiwan
Portugal
Indonesia
Malaysia
Poland
Hungary
Israel
Japan
Italy
China
Bulgaria
Morocco
Vietnam
Greece
Mauritius
Romania
Uganda
Serbia
Chile
South Africa
Namibia
Perù
Colombia
Sri Lanka
Zambia