Colombia Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
COLOMBIA

The Colombia 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 10.290%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

The yield spread between Colombia 10-Year and 2-Year government bonds is 354 basis points (bp), reflecting the difference in yields between long-term and short-term debt.
Typically, long-term bonds carry higher yields than short-term ones.
Current observation: Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities.

Colombia Central Bank Rate stands at 10.25%, following the most recent adjustment in October 2024.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Colombia credit rating is BB+.

The current quotation for Colombia 5-Years Credit Default Swap is 149.16 basis points. Correspondingly, the implied probability of default is 2.49%.

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Colombia Yield Curve

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Zero Coupon Price Last
Change
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M
2 years 6.750% -25.0 bp -406.0 bp 87.75 +0.47 % +7.75 % 21 Oct
4 years 9.399% +73.9 bp -70.6 bp 69.81 -2.68 % +2.60 % 21 Oct
5 years 9.659% +70.2 bp -44.1 bp 63.06 -3.16 % +2.02 % 21 Oct
10 years 10.290% +64.3 bp -31.0 bp 37.55 -5.68 % +2.85 % 21 Oct
15 years 10.929% +74.7 bp +4.0 bp 21.10 -9.64 % -0.57 % 21 Oct
Last Update: 21 Oct 2024 20:15 GMT+0

Colombia Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.

The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

Internal Spread on Key Maturities:
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5Y vs 2Y 290.9 bp Normal Convexity in Mid-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
10Y vs 2Y 354 bp Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Other Maturity Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (10.25%)
2 years 5 years
10 years 10.290% 4.0 bp
5 years 9.659%
-59.1 bp
2 years 6.750%
-350.0 bp

Colombia Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation).

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Rating Agency Rating Outlook Last Update Action
Standard & Poor's BB+ negative 19 Jan 2024 outlook downgrade
Moody's Investors Service Baa2 negative 28 Jun 2024 outlook downgrade
Fitch Ratings BB+ - 2 Jul 2021 rating downgrade
DBRS BBB (low) - 25 Jun 2021 rating downgrade

Colombia Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 10.25%

Colombia Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default Swap CDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 149.16 +2.36 % +31.78 % +63.91 % 2.49 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.
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Colombia 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Colombia 10Y Government Bond has a 10.290% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
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Colombia 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 933.0 bp +53.0 bp -42.7 bp
vs China 10Y 816.6 bp +57.0 bp -16.8 bp
vs Germany 10Y 801.2 bp +55.9 bp -8.5 bp
vs Spain 10Y 726.4 bp +65.5 bp -1.9 bp
vs France 10Y 726.2 bp +57.9 bp -31.9 bp
vs Canada 10Y 703.4 bp +34.0 bp +20.7 bp
vs Italy 10Y 677.0 bp +66.0 bp +7.9 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 615.0 bp +39.8 bp -21.9 bp
vs United States 10Y 609.6 bp +19.0 bp +12.8 bp
vs Australia 10Y 591.5 bp +26.3 bp -33.9 bp
vs India 10Y 334.0 bp +57.0 bp -3.5 bp
vs Brazil 10Y -247.1 bp +22.7 bp -166.3 bp
vs Russia 10Y -600.4 bp +21.6 bp -264.4 bp

Colombia Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
15 years 10.929% 21.10 28.32 42.76 57.20 71.64 86.07
10 years 10.290% 37.55 43.62 55.76 67.90 80.03 92.17
5 years 9.659% 63.06 66.89 74.54 82.18 89.83 97.48
4 years 9.399% 69.81 73.03 79.45 85.87 92.30 98.72
2 years 6.750% 87.75 89.57 93.20 96.82 100.45 104.08
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
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